A mechanism for proven technology foresight for emerging fast reactor designs and concepts

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

Abstract

The assessment of emerging nuclear fast reactor designs and concepts viability requires a combination of foresight methods. A mechanism that allows for the comparison and quantification of the possibility of being a proven technology in the future, β for the existing fast reactor designs and concepts is proposed as one of the quantitative foresight method. The methodology starts with the identification at the national or regional level, of the factors that would affect β. The factors are then categorized into several groups; economic, social and technology elements. Each of the elements is proposed to be mathematically modelled before all of the elemental models can be combined. Once the overall β model is obtained, the βmin is determined to benchmark the acceptance as a candidate design or concept. The β values for all the available designs and concepts are then determined and compared with the βmin, resulting in a list of candidate designs that possess the β value that is larger than the βmin. The proposed methodology can also be applied to purposes other than technological foresight.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationAdvancing Nuclear Science and Engineering for Sustainable Nuclear Energy Infrastructure
Subtitle of host publicationProceeding of the International Nuclear Science, Technology and Engineering Conference 2015, iNuSTEC 2015
EditorsZaini Hamzah, Abdul Aziz Mohamed, Faridah Mohamad Idris, Abu Bakar Hasan
PublisherAmerican Institute of Physics Inc.
ISBN (Electronic)9780735413511
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 22 Jan 2016
Event6th International Nuclear Science, Technology and Engineering Conference 2015, iNuSTEC 2015 - Nilai, Negeri Sembilan, Malaysia
Duration: 17 Aug 201519 Aug 2015

Publication series

NameAIP Conference Proceedings
Volume1704
ISSN (Print)0094-243X
ISSN (Electronic)1551-7616

Other

Other6th International Nuclear Science, Technology and Engineering Conference 2015, iNuSTEC 2015
CountryMalaysia
CityNilai, Negeri Sembilan
Period17/08/1519/08/15

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All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Physics and Astronomy(all)

Cite this

Anuar, N., & Muhamad Pauzi, A. (2016). A mechanism for proven technology foresight for emerging fast reactor designs and concepts. In Z. Hamzah, A. A. Mohamed, F. M. Idris, & A. B. Hasan (Eds.), Advancing Nuclear Science and Engineering for Sustainable Nuclear Energy Infrastructure: Proceeding of the International Nuclear Science, Technology and Engineering Conference 2015, iNuSTEC 2015 [050016] (AIP Conference Proceedings; Vol. 1704). American Institute of Physics Inc.. https://doi.org/10.1063/1.4940112